Among the many skills essential in your Forex trading strategy is the ability
to analyze. There's 2 major types of Forex analysis which are fundamental analysis and technical analysis. I will show you the different types of fundamental analysis trading and perhaps you will learn how to use it in your Forex trading strategy. If you are strictlya technical trader, you might gain and maybe improve your success by means beyond your existing methods. Simply speaking, Fundamental analysis depends on the news reports: political and economic aspects. Traders who use fundamental analysis will monitor various reports sources: Television, radio, and news feeds on the web; to learn about the political and financial aspects that may move the currency prices. For instance, if the US Non- Farm payroll report is good, it will cause the US dollar to move up. In case the number is disappointing, then the US dollar will drop against other foreign currencies. Every major news release includes a forecast or consensus figure determined by economists prior to the news release. If the actual release number is different from the forecast or expected figure, the market is surprised and definately will react to the release immediately. The bigger the surprise, or deviation, it can create greater reaction. To illustrate, if the upcoming US ISM Non- Manufacturing PMI has a forecast number of 54. 5, and our standard deviation is 3. . The actual release is released as 50. 5. Since actual deviation is 4. , you would enter a short trade on USD/ JPY, USD/ CAD, or USD/ CHF or possibly a long trade on GBP/ USD, AUD/ USD, EUR/ USD. There are actually three main ways to trade the fundamental analysis: Spike trading, Retracement trading, and Pre News trading. Trading the spike is among the most popular strategy to trade the fundamental analysis, and is the best known. Most Fx traders normally associate spike trading with fundamental analysis trading. To trade the spike, basically we wait for the news release to come out. According to the actual release number we'll enter the market immediately if our expected deviation is reached. This type of trading requires that you have access to the news release promptly when it is released, have a fast reaction to entera trade, and have a good broker that allows news trading. To trade the retracement, we wait for the news release to come out, we wait for the initial spike, and then we will wait for the market to retrace back within just ten to fifteen pips of the pre- release price. Sometimes when we have a huge deviation, we can get into the market at 20 pips from the pre- release level, but it will be dependent on your own discretion. Market will usually retrace within the first 5 to 30 minutes, if a retracement is to take place. This trading method is especially easier to enter intoa trade, mainly because we avoid the very first volatility of the initial news release, and a lot Forex brokers allow this type of news trading. Pre News trading, this method of fundamental analysis trading is probably the most advanced and the most difficult to analyze. Basically, we base our entry on market sentiment and technical trend of the currency pair and we go into the market five minutes prior to actual news release. You should always enter in the direction of the current trend and only work with this trading method with news releases that won’t change the market trend. As an example, you must not use this method for the US Non- Farm Payroll, GDP, and CPI; but you can pre- news trade the Retail Sales, Trade balances, and PMI reports.
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